UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Southern Illin
  
Southern Illinois     
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 90.5564

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 220 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 0-16 221 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 8- 9 222 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 8- 9 227 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 5- 3 228 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 7- 4 301 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 2- 4 414 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 5-11 426 H Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 5- 7 520 H Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 8- 4 521 A UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 1-11 521 H Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 3- 2 523 A Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 7- 5 523 A Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 9- 7 524 A UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 2- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Vanderbilt              0-16     -16    -6    ---   -8.11
   221 A Queens University       8- 9      -1     0          -1.10
   222 A App State               8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.30
   227 H Seton Hall              5- 3       2     1           1.23
   228 H Seton Hall              7- 4       3     1    +      2.23
   301 A Janes Madison           2- 4      -2    -2           0.22
   414 H Arkansas State          5-11      -6    -4          -1.71
   426 H Murray State            5- 7      -2    -1          -1.42
   520 H Evansville              8- 4       4     0    ++     4.25
   521 A UIC                     1-11     -10    -3    ---   -7.25
   521 H Evansville              3- 2       1     0           1.25
   523 A Indiana State           7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.43
   523 A Murray State            9- 7       2    -2    +      3.93
   524 A UIC                     2- 7      -5    -3    -     -2.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Vanderbilt              0-16     -16    -6    ---   -8.11
   521 A UIC                     1-11     -10    -3    ---   -7.25
   524 A UIC                     2- 7      -5    -3    -     -2.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A App State               8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.30
   520 H Evansville              8- 4       4     0    ++     4.25
   523 A Indiana State           7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.43
   228 H Seton Hall              7- 4       3     1    +      2.23
   523 A Murray State            9- 7       2    -2    +      3.93

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Vanderbilt      (32-22, 97.1)     0-16       -2.78      15.65      -0.68         2.07            -3.57
   3 A Queens Univers  (15-39, 89.8)     8- 9      -10.12       8.30       0.68         2.07            -9.76
   3 A App State       (31-23, 95.2)     8- 9       -4.72      13.70       0.68         2.07            -4.18
   3 H Seton Hall      (16-31, 90.5)     5- 3       -9.44       8.99      -0.68         2.07            34.34
   3 H Seton Hall      (16-31, 90.5)     7- 4       -9.44       8.99      -0.68         2.07            34.34
   3 A Janes Madison   (20-31, 92.1)     2- 4       -7.80      10.63       0.68         2.07            -7.36
   3 H Arkansas State  (29-25, 95.5)     5-11       -4.38      14.05      -0.68         2.07            -5.22
   3 H Murray State    ( 9-13, 91.8)     5- 7       -8.09      10.34      -0.68         2.07            -9.05
   3 H Evansville      ( 5-14, 91.5)     8- 4       -8.41      10.01      -0.68         2.07            38.57
   3 A UIC             ( 7-12, 92.6)     1-11       -7.27      11.16       0.68         2.07            -6.81
   3 H Evansville      ( 5-14, 91.5)     3- 2       -8.41      10.01      -0.68         2.07            38.57
   3 A Indiana State   ( 9-14, 92.3)     7- 5       -7.59      10.84       0.68         2.07            47.57
   3 A Murray State    ( 9-13, 91.8)     9- 7       -8.09      10.34       0.68         2.07            45.49
   3 A UIC             ( 7-12, 92.6)     2- 7       -7.27      11.16       0.68         2.07            -6.81
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       186.14

winning pts = 238.8954 losing points = -52.7541

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------